Minnesota Twins
PITCHER HEALTH
Preseason 2026 injury analysis, durability risk profiles, and return timelines for the Minnesota Twins pitching rotation.
Cross-check active roster status with official club announcements.
ROTATION OUTLOOK
Minnesota's rotation still runs through Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober, but Pablo López's Tommy John surgery leaves the Twins thinner than expected entering 2026.
KEY PITCHERS
Joe Ryan
RHP • #1 Starter
Injury History
Lower back inflammation (02/21/26). Projected Opening Day roster. Questionable for Opening Day.
Durability Risk Profile
Ryan remains the Twins' most reliable starter. The spring back issue is worth monitoring, but it is a short-term durability concern rather than a structural arm red flag.
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Pablo López
SP • #2 Starter
Injury History
Tommy John surgery (internal brace) (02/25/26). 60-Day IL. Out for 2026 season.
Durability Risk Profile
Devastating loss for Minnesota. López will focus on 2027 recovery following his first major UCL reconstruction.
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Bailey Ober
RHP • #3 Starter
Injury History
Generally healthy 2025. History of minor IL stints early in career. Clean arm currently.
Durability Risk Profile
Ober moves into the No. 2 role. Durability risk is moderate due to tall frame and history of minor core/leg issues.
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Jhoan Duran
RP • #4 Starter
Injury History
History of oblique and oblique strains. Extreme velocity arm. Managed workload in 2025.
Durability Risk Profile
Duran is high-risk due to 103+ mph velocity. His durability is always monitored for mechanical stress related to elite power.
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Chris Paddack
RHP • #5 Starter
Injury History
Two Tommy John surgeries. Healthy 2025 season. Innings managed carefully.
Durability Risk Profile
High risk profile due to dual UCL procedures. Must prove he can handle 150+ IP without setbacks.
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David Festa
SP • #6 Starter
Injury History
Shoulder impingement (Feb '26). Projected Injured List. Questionable for Opening Day.
Durability Risk Profile
Shoulder impingement for a young starter can linger and affect velocity and command. High reliability risk for first half of 2026.
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